3-4 LW (1-4 on Sunday).
Jacksonville (+3)
This line looks too easy for the Broncos. The Broncos looked awesome on Sunday Night, while the Jags got lucky in Buffalo LW.
The Jags were #2 in the NFL LY against the run (87.9 ypg) and held the Bills and Travis Henry under 100 LW. The Jaguars have gone 16 consecutive games without allowing an opposing rusher to reach the 100-yard mark.
The Jags didn't gain a lot of yards and didn't look pretty on offense, but they have an improved OL this year and they were 3-for-3 in fourth-down conversion tries last week.
Pittsburgh (+4)
The Road team was won 7 of the L11 SU in this series.
The Steelers have covered 5 of the L6 vs. BMore.
I can't back the Ravens in this spot b/c of Kyle Boller. He is overcoached by Billick, OC Matt Cavanaugh and also has consultant Jim Fassel in his ear.
The Steelers held the Raiders to 61 yards on the ground LW and they will force Kyle Boller to beat them.
Indianapolis (-1')
The Colts are 9-4-2 ATS the L15 on the road.
I love the way Indy ran the ball LW (without the fumbles). They also have improved in stopping the run. Corey Dillon has one 30+ yd run, but overall the Colts did well only allowing 82 yards on the ground. Now, in part it is b/c their pass defense was terrible, but I feel the Titans will rely mainly on the passing game. Chris Brown is hurt for the Titans and I don't see the Titans trying to ppund the ball all day.
No 0-2 for Indianapolis.
Washington (-3)
I hate backing Road Favs, but the Giants are in an awful spot here. They are 3-8-1 ATS at home off a division road loss.
The Skins are #1 right now in Rushing Defense (only allowed 30 yds vs. TB LW). The Giants didn't run the ball that well LW and their stats are misleading b/c of a Tiki Barber 72-yd run against 2nd and 3rd-stringers in mop-up time.
Washington is now running more conventional blocking schemes and I expect them to control the line of scrimmage vs. the G-men.
St. Louis (+2')
The Rams are 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. Atlanta. I think this line is too high b/c of the Rams terrible performance against the Cards LW.
The Rams should get the running game going today. Faulk had 128 yds LW.
The Rams were 2-0 ATS as a Road Dog LY.
Dallas (-4)
All of a sudden, people think the Brownies are for real this year. Nope. Dallas may have an up and down year this year, but they will still be able to move the ball on Cleveland like they did against Minny LW.
Dallas was 7-2-1 ATS as a Home Fav LY.
Oakland (-3')
The Bills still may be stinging from that brutal loss the J-Ville LW.
The Raiders have gone to a more vertical passing offense to take advantage of the speed of their young WR's (Whitted, Gabriel and Porter).
The Raiders only allowed 130 yds through the air LW. I feel they will pressure Bledsoe today and force some Turnovers.
GL
HD
Jacksonville (+3)
This line looks too easy for the Broncos. The Broncos looked awesome on Sunday Night, while the Jags got lucky in Buffalo LW.
The Jags were #2 in the NFL LY against the run (87.9 ypg) and held the Bills and Travis Henry under 100 LW. The Jaguars have gone 16 consecutive games without allowing an opposing rusher to reach the 100-yard mark.
The Jags didn't gain a lot of yards and didn't look pretty on offense, but they have an improved OL this year and they were 3-for-3 in fourth-down conversion tries last week.
Pittsburgh (+4)
The Road team was won 7 of the L11 SU in this series.
The Steelers have covered 5 of the L6 vs. BMore.
I can't back the Ravens in this spot b/c of Kyle Boller. He is overcoached by Billick, OC Matt Cavanaugh and also has consultant Jim Fassel in his ear.
The Steelers held the Raiders to 61 yards on the ground LW and they will force Kyle Boller to beat them.
Indianapolis (-1')
The Colts are 9-4-2 ATS the L15 on the road.
I love the way Indy ran the ball LW (without the fumbles). They also have improved in stopping the run. Corey Dillon has one 30+ yd run, but overall the Colts did well only allowing 82 yards on the ground. Now, in part it is b/c their pass defense was terrible, but I feel the Titans will rely mainly on the passing game. Chris Brown is hurt for the Titans and I don't see the Titans trying to ppund the ball all day.
No 0-2 for Indianapolis.
Washington (-3)
I hate backing Road Favs, but the Giants are in an awful spot here. They are 3-8-1 ATS at home off a division road loss.
The Skins are #1 right now in Rushing Defense (only allowed 30 yds vs. TB LW). The Giants didn't run the ball that well LW and their stats are misleading b/c of a Tiki Barber 72-yd run against 2nd and 3rd-stringers in mop-up time.
Washington is now running more conventional blocking schemes and I expect them to control the line of scrimmage vs. the G-men.
St. Louis (+2')
The Rams are 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. Atlanta. I think this line is too high b/c of the Rams terrible performance against the Cards LW.
The Rams should get the running game going today. Faulk had 128 yds LW.
The Rams were 2-0 ATS as a Road Dog LY.
Dallas (-4)
All of a sudden, people think the Brownies are for real this year. Nope. Dallas may have an up and down year this year, but they will still be able to move the ball on Cleveland like they did against Minny LW.
Dallas was 7-2-1 ATS as a Home Fav LY.
Oakland (-3')
The Bills still may be stinging from that brutal loss the J-Ville LW.
The Raiders have gone to a more vertical passing offense to take advantage of the speed of their young WR's (Whitted, Gabriel and Porter).
The Raiders only allowed 130 yds through the air LW. I feel they will pressure Bledsoe today and force some Turnovers.
GL
HD
